Titre

Trends in adult body-mass index in 200 countries from 1975 to 2014: a pooled analysis of 1698 population-based measurement studies with 19·2 million participants.

Type
article
Institution
UNIL/CHUV/Unisanté + institutions partenaires
Périodique
Contributrices/contributeurs
Di Cesare, M.
Bentham, J.
Stevens, G.A.
Zhou, B.
Danaei, G.
Lu, Y.
Bixby, H.
Cowan, M.J.
Riley, L.M.
Hajifathalian, K.
Fortunato, L.
Taddei, C.
Bennett, J.E.
Ikeda, N.
Khang, Y.H.
Kyobutungi, C.
Laxmaiah, A.
Li, Y.
Lin, H.H.
Miranda, J.J.
Mostafa, A.
Turley, M.L.
Paciorek, C.J.
Gunter, M.
Ezzati, M.
Abdeen, Z.A.
Abdul Hamid, Z.
Abu-Rmeileh, N.M.
Acosta-Cazares, B.
Adams, R.
Aekplakorn, W.
Aguilar-Salinas, C.A.
Ahmadvand, A.
Ahrens, W.
Ali, M.M.
Alkerwi, A.
Alvarez-Pedrerol, M.
Aly, E.
Amouyel, P.
Amuzu, A.
Andersen, L.B.
Anderssen, S.A.
Andrade, D.S.
Anjana, R.M.
Aounallah-Skhiri, H.
Ariansen, I.
Aris, T.
Arlappa, N.
Arveiler, D.
Assah, F.K.
Avdicová, M.
Azizi, F.
Beheshti, S.
Babu, B.V.
Balakrishna, N.
Bandosz, P.
Banegas, J.R.
Barbagallo, C.M.
Barceló, A.
Barkat, A.
Barros, M.V.
Bata, I.
Batieha, A.M.
Batista, R.L.
Baur, L.A.
Beaglehole, R.
Ben Romdhane, H.
Benet, M.
Bernabe-Ortiz, A.
Bernotiene, G.
Bettiol, H.
Bhagyalaxmi, A.
Bharadwaj, S.
Bhargava, S.K.
Bhatti, Z.
Bhutta, Z.A.
Bi, H.
Bi, Y.
Bjerregaard, P.
Bjertness, E.
Bjertness, M.B.
Björkelund, C.
Blake, M.
Blokstra, A.
Bo, S.
Bobak, M.
Boddy, L.M.
Boehm, B.O.
Boeing, H.
Boissonnet, C.P.
Bongard, V.
Bovet, P.
Braeckman, L.
Bragt, M.C.
Brajkovich, I.
Branca, F.
Breckenkamp, J.
Brenner, H.
Brewster, L.M.
Brian, G.R.
Bruno, G.
Bueno-de-Mesquita, H.B.
Bugge, A.
Burns, C.
Cabrera de León, A.
Cacciottolo, J.
Cama, T.
Cameron, C.
Camolas, J.
Can, G.
Cândido, A.P.
Capuano, V.
Cardoso, V.C.
Carvalho, M.J.
Casanueva, F.
Casas, J.P.
Caserta, C.A.
Castetbon, K.
Chamukuttan, S.
Chan, A.W.
Chan, Q.
Chaturvedi, H.K.
Chaturvedi, N.
Chen, C.J.
Chen, F.
Chen, H.
Chen, S.
Chen, Z.
Cheng, C.Y.
Chetrit, A.
Chiolero, A.
Chiou, S.T.
Chirita-Emandi, A.
Cho, Y.
Christensen, K.
Chudek, J.
Cifkova, R.
Claessens, F.
Clays, E.
Concin, H.
Cooper, C.
Cooper, R.
Coppinger, T.C.
Costanzo, S.
Cottel, D.
Cowell, C.
Craig, C.L.
Crujeiras, A.B.
D'Arrigo, G.
d'Orsi, E.
Dallongeville, J.
Damasceno, A.
Damsgaard, C.T.
Danaei, G.
Dankner, R.
Dauchet, L.
De Backer, G.
De Bacquer, D.
de Gaetano, G.
De Henauw, S.
De Smedt, D.
Deepa, M.
Deev, A.D.
Dehghan, A.
Delisle, H.
Delpeuch, F.
Dhana, K.
Di Castelnuovo, A.F.
Dias-da-Costa, J.S.
Diaz, A.
Djalalinia, S.
Do, H.T.
Dobson, A.J.
Donfrancesco, C.
Döring, A.
Doua, K.
Drygas, W.
Egbagbe, E.E.
Eggertsen, R.
Ekelund, U.
El Ati, J.
Elliott, P.
Engle-Stone, R.
Erasmus, R.T.
Erem, C.
Eriksen, L.
Escobedo-de la Peña, J.
Evans, A.
Faeh, D.
Fall, C.H.
Farzadfar, F.
Felix-Redondo, F.J.
Ferguson, T.S.
Fernández-Bergés, D.
Ferrante, D.
Ferrari, M.
Ferreccio, C.
Ferrieres, J.
Finn, J.D.
Fischer, K.
Flores, E.M.
Föger, B.
Foo, L.H.
Forslund, A.S.
Fortmann, S.P.
Fouad, H.M.
Francis, D.K.
Franco, M.do C.
Franco, O.H.
Frontera, G.
Fuchs, F.D.
Fuchs, S.C.
Fujita, Y.
Furusawa, T.
Gaciong, Z.
Gafencu, M.
Gareta, D.
Garnett, S.P.
Gaspoz, J.M.
Gasull, M.
Gates, L.
Geleijnse, J.M.
Ghasemian, A.
Giampaoli, S.
Gianfagna, F.
Giovannelli, J.
Giwercman, A.
Goldsmith, R.A.
Gonzalez Gross, M.
González Rivas, J.P.
Gorbea, M.B.
Gottrand, F.
Graff -Iversen, S.
Grafnetter, D.
Grajda, A.
Grammatikopoulou, M.G.
Gregor, R.D.
Grodzicki, T.
Grøntved, A.
Gruden, G.
Grujic, V.
Gu, D.
Guan, O.P.
Gudnason, V.
Guerrero, R.
Guessous, I.
Guimaraes, A.L.
Gulliford, M.C.
Gunnlaugsdottir, J.
Gunter, M.
Guo, X.H.
Guo, Y.
Gupta, P.C.
Gureje, O.
Gurzkowska, B.
Gutierrez, L.
Gutzwiller, F.
Halkjær, J.
Hardy, R.
Hari Kumar, R.
Hayes, A.J.
He, J.
Hendriks, M.E.
Hernandez Cadena, L.
Heshmat, R.
Hihtaniemi, I.T.
Ho, S.Y.
Ho, S.C.
Hobbs, M.
Hofman, A.
Hormiga, C.M.
Horta, B.L.
Houti, L.
Htay, T.T.
Htet, A.S.
Htike, M.M.
Hu, Y.
Hussieni, A.S.
Huu, C.N.
Huybrechts, I.
Hwalla, N.
Iacoviello, L.
Iannone, A.G.
Ibrahim, M.M.
Ikeda, N.
Ikram, M.A.
Irazola, V.E.
Islam, M.
Iwasaki, M.
Jackson, R.T.
Jacobs, J.M.
Jafar, T.
Jamil, K.M.
Jamrozik, K.
Jasienska, G.
Jiang, C.Q.
Joffres, M.
Johansson, M.
Jonas, J.B.
Jørgensen, T.
Joshi, P.
Juolevi, A.
Jurak, G.
Jureša, V.
Kaaks, R.
Kafatos, A.
Kalter-Leibovici, O.
Kapantais, E.
Kasaeian, A.
Katz, J.
Kaur, P.
Kavousi, M.
Keil, U.
Keinan Boker, L.
Kelishadi, R.
Kemper, H.
Kengne, A.P.
Kersting, M.
Key, T.
Khader, Y.S.
Khalili, D.
Khang, Y.H.
Khaw, K.T.
Khouw, I.M.
Kiechl, S.
Killewo, J.
Kim, J.
Kiyohara, Y.
Klimont, J.
Kolle, E.
Kolsteren, P.
Korrovits, P.
Koskinen, S.
Kouda, K.
Koziel, S.
Kratzer, W.
Krokstad, S.
Kromhout, D.
Kruger, H.S.
Kula, K.
Kulaga, Z.
Kumar, R.K.
Kusuma, Y.S.
Kuulasmaa, K.
Kyobutungi, C.
Laamiri, F.Z.
Laatikainen, T.
Lachat, C.
Laid, Y.
Lam, T.H.
Landrove, O.
Lanska, V.
Lappas, G.
Laugsand, L.E.
Laxmaiah, A.
Le Nguyen Bao, K.
Le, T.D.
Leclercq, C.
Lee, J.
Lee, J.
Lehtimäki, T.
Lekhraj, R.
León-Muñoz, L.M.
Li, Y.
Lim, W.Y.
Lima-Costa, M.F.
Lin, H.H.
Lin, X.
Linneberg, A.
Lissner, L.
Litwin, M.
Liu, J.
Lorbeer, R.
Lotufo, P.A.
Lozano, J.E.
Luksiene, D.
Lundqvist, A.
Lunet, N.
Lytsy, P.
Ma, G.
Machi, S.
Maggi, S.
Magliano, D.J.
Makdisse, M.
Malekzadeh, R.
Malhotra, R.
Mallikharjuna Rao, K.
Manios, Y.
Mann, J.
Manzato, E.
Margozzini, P.
Markey, O.
Marques-Vidal, P.
Marrugat, J.
Martin-Prevel, Y.
Martorell, R.
Masoodi, S.R.
Matsha, T.E.
Mazur, A.
Mbanya, J.C.
McFarlane, S.R.
McGarvey, S.T.
McKee, M.
McLachlan, S.
McLean, R.M.
McNulty, B.A.
Md Yusof, S.
Mediene-Benchekor, S.
Meirhaeghe, A.
Meisinger, C.
Mendes, L.L.
Menezes, A.M.
Mensink, G.B.
Meshram, I.I.
Metspalu, A.
Mi, J.
Michaelsen, K.F.
Mikkel, K.
Miller, J.C.
Miquel, J.F.
Miranda, J.J.
Mišigoj-Duraković, M.
Mohamed, M.K.
Mohammad, K.
Mohammadifard, N.
Mohan, V.
Mohd Yusoff, M.F.
Molbo, D.
Møller, N.C.
Molnár, D.
Mondo, C.K.
Monterrubio, E.A.
Monyeki, K.D.
Moreira, L.B.
Morejon, A.
Moreno, L.A.
Morgan, K.
Mortensen, E.L.
Moschonis, G.
Mossakowska, M.
Mostafa, A.
Mota, J.
Motlagh, M.E.
Motta, J.
Mu, T.T.
Muiesan, M.L.
Müller-Nurasyid, M.
Murphy, N.
Mursu, J.
Murtagh, E.M.
Musa, K.I.
Musil, V.
Nagel, G.
Nakamura, H.
Námešná, J.
Nang, E.E.
Nangia, V.B.
Nankap, M.
Narake, S.
Navarrete-Muñoz, E.M.
Nenko, I.
Neovius, M.
Nervi, F.
Neuhauser, H.K.
Nguyen, N.D.
Nguyen, Q.N.
Nieto-Martínez, R.E.
Ning, G.
Ninomiya, T.
Nishtar, S.
Noale, M.
Norat, T.
Noto, D.
Nsour, M.A.
O'Reilly, D.
Ochoa-Avilés, A.M.
Oh, K.
Olayan, I.H.
Olinto, M.T.
Oltarzewski, M.
Omar, M.
Onat, A.
Ordunez, P.
Ortiz, A.P.
Osler, M.
Osmond, C.
Ostojic, S.M.
Otero, J.A.
Overvad, K.
Paccaud, F.M.
Padez, C.
Pajak, A.
Palli, D.
Palloni, A.
Palmieri, L.
Panda-Jonas, S.
Panza, F.
Parnell, W.R.
Parsaeian, M.
Pednekar, M.S.
Peeters, P.H.
Peixoto, S.V.
Pereira, A.C.
Pérez, C.M.
Peters, A.
Peykari, N.
Pham, S.T.
Pigeot, I.
Pikhart, H.
Pilav, A.
Pilotto, L.
Pistelli, F.
Pitakaka, F.
Piwonska, A.
Piwonski, J.
Plans-Rubió, P.
Poh, B.K.
Porta, M.
Portegies, M.L.
Poulimeneas, D.
Pradeepa, R.
Prashant, M.
Price, J.F.
Puiu, M.
Punab, M.
Qasrawi, R.F.
Qorbani, M.
Quoc Bao, T.
Radic, I.
Radisauskas, R.
Rahman, M.
Raitakari, O.
Raj, M.
Ramachandra Rao, S.
Ramachandran, A.
Ramke, J.
Ramos, R.
Rampal, S.
Rasmussen, F.
Redon, J.
Reganit, P.F.
Ribeiro, R.
Riboli, E.
Rigo, F.
Rinke de Wit, T.F.
Ritti-Dias, R.M.
Rivera, J.A.
Robinson, S.M.
Robitaille, C.
Rodríguez-Artalejo, F.
Rodriguez-Perez, M.del C.
Rodríguez-Villamizar, L.A.
Rojas-Martinez, R.
Rojroongwasinkul, N.
Romaguera, D.
Ronkainen, K.
Rosengren, A.
Rouse, I.
Rubinstein, A.
Rühli, F.J.
Rui, O.
Ruiz-Betancourt, B.S.
Russo Horimoto, A.R.
Rutkowski, M.
Sabanayagam, C.
Sachdev, H.S.
Saidi, O.
Salanave, B.
Salazar Martinez, E.
Salomaa, V.
Salonen, J.T.
Salvetti, M.
Sánchez-Abanto, J.
Sandjaja, X.
Sans, S.
Santos, D.A.
Santos, O.
dos Santos, R.N.
Santos, R.
Sardinha, L.B.
Sarrafzadegan, N.
Saum, K.U.
Savva, S.C.
Scazufca, M.
Schaffrath Rosario, A.
Schargrodsky, H.
Schienkiewitz, A.
Schmidt, I.M.
Schneider, I.J.
Schultsz, C.
Schutte, A.E.
Sein, A.A.
Senbanjo, I.O.
Sepanlou, S.G.
Shalnova, S.A.
Shaw, J.E.
Shibuya, K.
Shin, Y.
Shiri, R.
Siantar, R.
Sibai, A.M.
Silva, A.M.
Silva, D.A.
Simon, M.
Simons, J.
Simons, L.A.
Sjostrom, M.
Slowikowska-Hilczer, J.
Slusarczyk, P.
Smeeth, L.
Smith, M.C.
Snijder, M.B.
So, H.K.
Sobngwi, E.
Söderberg, S.
Soekatri, M.Y.
Solfrizzi, V.
Sonestedt, E.
Sørensen, T.I.
Sorić, M.
Sossa Jérome, C.
Soumare, A.
Staessen, J.A.
Starc, G.
Stathopoulou, M.G.
Staub, K.
Stavreski, B.
Steene-Johannessen, J.
Stehle, P.
Stein, A.D.
Stergiou, G.S.
Stessman, J.
Stieber, J.
Stöckl, D.
Stocks, T.
Stokwiszewski, J.
Stratton, G.
Strufaldi, M.W.
Sun, C.A.
Sundström, J.
Sung, Y.T.
Sunyer, J.
Suriyawongpaisal, P.
Swinburn, B.
Sy, R.G.
Szponar, L.
Tai, E.S.
Tammesoo, M.L.
Tamosiunas, A.
Tang, L.
Tang, X.
Tanser, F.
Tao, Y.
Tarawneh, M.
Tarp, J.
Tarqui-Mamani, C.B.
Taylor, A.
Tchibindat, F.
Thijs, L.
Thuesen, B.H.
Tjonneland, A.
Tolonen, H.K.
Tolstrup, J.S.
Topbas, M.
Topór-Madry, R.
Torrent, M.
Traissac, P.
Trichopoulou, A.
Trichopoulos, D.
Trinh, O.T.
Trivedi, A.
Tshepo, L.
Tulloch-Reid, M.K.
Tuomainen, T.P.
Tuomilehto, J.
Turley, M.L.
Tynelius, P.
Tzotzas, T.
Tzourio, C.
Ueda, P.
Ukoli, F.A.
Ulmer, H.
Unal, B.
Valdivia, G.
Vale, S.
Valvi, D.
van der Schouw, Y.T.
Van Herck, K.
Van Minh, H.
van Valkengoed, I.G.
Vanderschueren, D.
Vanuzzo, D.
Vatten, L.
Vega, T.
Velasquez-Melendez, G.
Veronesi, G.
Verschuren, W.M.
Viegi, G.
Viet, L.
Viikari-Juntura, E.
Vineis, P.
Vioque, J.
Virtanen, J.K.
Visvikis-Siest, S.
Viswanathan, B.
Vollenweider, P.
Voutilainen, S.
Vrijheid, M.
Wade, A.N.
Wagner, A.
Walton, J.
Wan, N.
Wan, M.
Wang, M.D.
Wang, Q.
Wang, Y.X.
Wannamethee, S.G.
Wareham, N.
Weerasekera, D.
Whincup, P.H.
Widhalm, K.
Widyahening, I.
Wiecek, A.
Wilks, R.J.
Willeit, J.
Wojtyniak, B.
Wong, J.E.
Wong, T.Y.
Woo, J.
Woodward, M.
Wu, F.C.
Wu, J.
Wu, S.L.
Xu, H.
Xu, L.
Yamborisut, U.
Yan, W.
Yang, X.
Yardim, N.
Ye, X.
Yiallouros, P.K.
Yoshihara, A.
You, Q.S.
Younger-Coleman, N.O.
Yusoff, A.F.
Zainuddin, A.
Zambon, S.
Zdrojewski, T.
Zeng, Y.
Zhao, D.
Zhao, W.
Zheng, Y.
Zhou, M.
Zhu, D.
Zimmermann, E.
Zuñiga Cisneros, J.
Groupes de travail
NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC)
Liens vers les personnes
Liens vers les unités
ISSN
1474-547X
Statut éditorial
Publié
Date de publication
2016-04-02
Volume
387
Numéro
10026
Première page
1377
Dernière page/numéro d’article
1396
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Langue
anglais
Notes
Publication types: Journal Article ; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Publication types: Journal Article ; Meta-Analysis ; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't ; Review
Publication Status: ppublish
Résumé
Underweight and severe and morbid obesity are associated with highly elevated risks of adverse health outcomes. We estimated trends in mean body-mass index (BMI), which characterises its population distribution, and in the prevalences of a complete set of BMI categories for adults in all countries.
We analysed, with use of a consistent protocol, population-based studies that had measured height and weight in adults aged 18 years and older. We applied a Bayesian hierarchical model to these data to estimate trends from 1975 to 2014 in mean BMI and in the prevalences of BMI categories (<18·5 kg/m(2) [underweight], 18·5 kg/m(2) to <20 kg/m(2), 20 kg/m(2) to <25 kg/m(2), 25 kg/m(2) to <30 kg/m(2), 30 kg/m(2) to <35 kg/m(2), 35 kg/m(2) to <40 kg/m(2), ≥40 kg/m(2) [morbid obesity]), by sex in 200 countries and territories, organised in 21 regions. We calculated the posterior probability of meeting the target of halting by 2025 the rise in obesity at its 2010 levels, if post-2000 trends continue.
We used 1698 population-based data sources, with more than 19·2 million adult participants (9·9 million men and 9·3 million women) in 186 of 200 countries for which estimates were made. Global age-standardised mean BMI increased from 21·7 kg/m(2) (95% credible interval 21·3-22·1) in 1975 to 24·2 kg/m(2) (24·0-24·4) in 2014 in men, and from 22·1 kg/m(2) (21·7-22·5) in 1975 to 24·4 kg/m(2) (24·2-24·6) in 2014 in women. Regional mean BMIs in 2014 for men ranged from 21·4 kg/m(2) in central Africa and south Asia to 29·2 kg/m(2) (28·6-29·8) in Polynesia and Micronesia; for women the range was from 21·8 kg/m(2) (21·4-22·3) in south Asia to 32·2 kg/m(2) (31·5-32·8) in Polynesia and Micronesia. Over these four decades, age-standardised global prevalence of underweight decreased from 13·8% (10·5-17·4) to 8·8% (7·4-10·3) in men and from 14·6% (11·6-17·9) to 9·7% (8·3-11·1) in women. South Asia had the highest prevalence of underweight in 2014, 23·4% (17·8-29·2) in men and 24·0% (18·9-29·3) in women. Age-standardised prevalence of obesity increased from 3·2% (2·4-4·1) in 1975 to 10·8% (9·7-12·0) in 2014 in men, and from 6·4% (5·1-7·8) to 14·9% (13·6-16·1) in women. 2·3% (2·0-2·7) of the world's men and 5·0% (4·4-5·6) of women were severely obese (ie, have BMI ≥35 kg/m(2)). Globally, prevalence of morbid obesity was 0·64% (0·46-0·86) in men and 1·6% (1·3-1·9) in women.
If post-2000 trends continue, the probability of meeting the global obesity target is virtually zero. Rather, if these trends continue, by 2025, global obesity prevalence will reach 18% in men and surpass 21% in women; severe obesity will surpass 6% in men and 9% in women. Nonetheless, underweight remains prevalent in the world's poorest regions, especially in south Asia.
Wellcome Trust, Grand Challenges Canada.
Sujets

Adolescent

Adult

Bayes Theorem

Body Mass Index

Developed Countries

Developing Countries

Female

Forecasting

Global Health

Humans

Male

Models, Statistical

Obesity/epidemiology

Prevalence

Thinness/epidemiology...

Young Adult

PID Serval
serval:BIB_BA2090C42EBB
DOI
PMID
Permalien
Open Access
Oui
Date de création
2016-04-28T09:26:29.232Z
Date de création dans IRIS
2025-05-20T23:44:48Z
Fichier(s)
En cours de chargement...
Vignette d'image
Nom

PIIS014067361630054X.pdf

Version du manuscrit

published

Taille

18.95 MB

Format

Adobe PDF

PID Serval

serval:BIB_BA2090C42EBB.P001

URN

urn:nbn:ch:serval-BIB_BA2090C42EBB5

Somme de contrôle

(MD5):4934bedcadbf459f05620c0ace6fff17