Titre
Networks in Conflict: Theory and Evidence from the Great War of Africa
Type
article
Institution
UNIL/CHUV/Unisanté + institutions partenaires
Périodique
Auteur(s)
Koenig, M.
Auteure/Auteur
Rohner, D.
Auteure/Auteur
Thoenig, M.
Auteure/Auteur
Zilibotti, F.
Auteure/Auteur
Liens vers les personnes
Liens vers les unités
ISSN
0012-9682
Statut éditorial
Publié
Date de publication
2017-07
Volume
85
Numéro
4
Première page
1093–1132
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Langue
anglais
Résumé
We study from both a theoretical and an empirical perspective how a network of military alliances and enmities affects the intensity of a conflict. The model combines elements from network theory and from the politico-economic theory of conflict. We obtain a closed-form characterization of the Nash equilibrium. Using the equilibrium conditions, we perform an empirical analysis using data on the Second Congo War, a conflict that involves many groups in a complex network of informal alliances and rivalries. The estimates of the fighting externalities are then used to infer the extent to which the conflict intensity can be reduced through (i) dismantling specific fighting groups involved in the conflict; (ii) weapon embargoes; (iii) interventions aimed at pacifying animosity among groups. Finally, with the aid of a random utility model we study how policy shocks can induce the reshaping of the network structure.
PID Serval
serval:BIB_1490C37D88B0
Open Access
Oui
Date de création
2017-01-05T02:37:37.448Z
Date de création dans IRIS
2025-05-20T16:15:33Z
Fichier(s)![Vignette d'image]()
En cours de chargement...
Nom
KRTZ.pdf
Version du manuscrit
postprint
Taille
1.49 MB
Format
Adobe PDF
PID Serval
serval:BIB_1490C37D88B0.P001
URN
urn:nbn:ch:serval-BIB_1490C37D88B02
Somme de contrôle
(MD5):bc91d8fb72ab227d447baeb7088b4297